While many property market and economic experts
agree that average home prices in Australia in the current cycle
probably peaked back in 2005, there are still pockets of property
investment potential in Australia and there are always approaches
that investors can apply for maximum profitability even in a market
as mature as Australia’s.
First things first it is imperative to note that
there is a large affordability issue affecting middle-Australia and
the average would-be home owner – house prices have risen higher
than three, four or even five times the median wage in the majority
of Australia’s main towns and cities and there is an ongoing risk
that interest rates will increase meaning that even those who can
stretch themselves to the point of affording a mortgage to buy are
loath to commit.
For first time home buyers in Australia this
is a negative situation – but for investors this is a very positive
situation!
This situation means that there is mounting
demand for quality rental stock with yields increasing throughout
2007 as the demand soars, and there are no signs that demand for
rental stock will diminish in the short to medium term.
Buying Property in
Australia
The next positive factors in an investor’s favour
in Australia are that all coastal land and real estate as well as
those homes in the major cities and coastal hotspots valued above
the 1 or 2 million Australian dollar mark are intensely in demand –
simply, the former is never out of favour and the latter types of
property are far less affected by any small economic knocks and
shakes such as small increases in interest rates.
These factors mean that investors in a position
to upgrade their property investment portfolios could do very well
in Australia going in to 2007.
In terms of focusing on coastal real estate
– quite simply coastal land and property is in finite supply the
whole world over and while Australia remains a nation where the
population prefers to live around beaches, ports and seaside
locations, coastal properties will always represent a good long term
investment decision in Australia – not just for 2007…
In terms of focusing on the upper end of the
housing market – even in cities like Perth, Sydney and Melbourne
where affordability died in the market months ago, demand for
properties for sale above the 2 million Australian dollar mark has
never been so intense with new developers in limited supply which
offers up a niche market sector for an investor to examine.
For those new to the property investment market
in Australia or who have less than a few million to spend on a
buying or building a single home, bear the following factors in mind
if you want to profit from Australian property in 2007: -
The Ripple Effect – not everyone can
afford to live by the sea but many want to live as close to it as
they can afford to which is why price increases for coastal
properties ripple outwards on a suburb by suburb basis – look at
which suburbs close to the coast have room for price expansion and
buy in…the same tactic applies to city centres and central business
districts, start in the centre and work back.
The Fuel Price Factor – oil prices are
increasing, the cost of commuting is annually eating a greater
portion of the average worker’s take home pay and this all means
that more and more people demand access to decent travel
infrastructure to cut their costs and commute times. Savvy investors
will look at areas of cities about to get new bus routes, rail links
or metro lines and they will look at run down areas with decent
potential for transport and buy into these locations as all evidence
suggests that prices for properties in these parts of Australia are
set to increase.
These two tactics will work in 2007 and beyond.
Finally, the property market cycle in Australia
right now and going forward into 2007 has reached a unique
point…fewer people are in a position to buy meaning ‘for sale’ stock
is remaining unsold – this allows property investors a chance to
negotiate hard, buy bargains and even clear stock on brand new
developments for a fraction of their actual value.
By buying property undervalued an investor has an
immediate equity increase in his portfolio. While the market remains
stale an investor cannot sell to realise this increase in capital
gains but they can then rent out to a market hungry for stock and a
market which, through its intense demand, is pushing up rental rates
chargeable.
An investor therefore has a chance to buy quality
stock at knock down prices, achieve an instant lift on underlying
price, tap into a strongly demanding market and buy into a period of
increasing rental yields right now.
At the end of this sequence in the property
market cycle affordability will return to the market, demand will
manifest itself on the house buyer front, property prices will rise
and an investor can then reap significant capital appreciation from
investments made in 2007.
Rhiannon Williamson writes about real estate
investment worldwide, to read more about her
Australia property investment market predictions for 2007
click here.